Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaguars @ Huskies SOU @ WASH

SOUTHERN

JAGUARSSOU

2-2  |  Road

93
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 9:30 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

3-1  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
JAGUARS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Washington)
JaguarsSOU (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

4.5%

Huskies Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

SOU By 1-7 points

3.3%

SOU By 8-14 points

0.6%

WASH By 1-7 points

12.2%

WASH By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SOUTHERN
77
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
65
SOUTHERN
78
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+22.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 SOU @ WASH 93 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.5% more
Washington: 4.2 vs Southern: 3.0
Steals (L5) +59.7% more
Southern: 14.7 vs Washington: 5.9
Assists (L5) +45.4% more
Southern: 21.2 vs Washington: 11.6
Turnovers (L5) +20.9% more
Southern: 12.6 vs Washington: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SOU Score 60.0 93
WASH Score 77.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 38.3 29.0 / 37.0
Assists 11.6 / 21.2 11.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.0 9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.0 / 53.1 41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 72.3 / 72.3 72.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 42.0 50.0 / 43.0
Steals 5.9 / 14.7 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 12.6 16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
WASH
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +4.7
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
SOU
WASH
SOU
ML
45% 15-18
67% 22-11
66% 21-11
70% 21-9
ATS
48% 16-17
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
70% 21-9
TTL
70% 23-10
42% 14-19
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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