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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

10-8-2  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

8-4-6  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Shea Theodore
GOALTENDER

Shea Theodore

#27 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 3.12 0.885 --
Shea Theodore None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.12 GAA --
0.885 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
RANGERS --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

15.9%

Golden Knights Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

VGK By 1 goal

17.5%

VGK By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 VGK @ NYR 3 - 2
Nov 18, 2025 NYR @ VGK 2 - 3
Feb 2, 2025 VGK @ NYR 2 - 4
Jan 11, 2025 NYR @ VGK 2 - 1
Jan 26, 2024 VGK @ NYR 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.6% more
Vegas: 29.8 vs New York: 24.3
Faceoff % (L5) +2.2%
Vegas: 49.4% vs New York: 47.2%
Hits (L5) +35.9% more
New York: 25.8 vs Vegas: 16.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.9% more
New York: 15.1 vs Vegas: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 1.0 2
VGK Score 3.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.2 / 15.1 17.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 49.4 / 47.2 46.0 / 54.0
Hits 16.6 / 25.8 20.0 / 34.0
Power Play % 27.3 / 39.3 100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.8 / 24.3 26.0 / 19.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 4.5 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
NYR
VGK
NYR
ML
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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