Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Waves UNO @ PEPP

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

2-1  |  Road

79
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 9:00 PM ET
Firestone Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

PEPPERDINE

WAVESPEPP

2-2  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
0%
📊
WAVES
100%
PRIVATEERS --
WAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (New Orleans)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 WavesPEPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

98.9%

Waves Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNO -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNO)

UNO By 1-7 points

4.8%

UNO By 8-14 points

13.7%

PEPP By 1-7 points

0.8%

PEPP By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
90
NEW ORLEANS
67
PEPPERDINE
Simulated Score
70
NEW ORLEANS
78
PEPPERDINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Privateers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Waves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Privateers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Waves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 UNO @ PEPP 79 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
New Orleans: 13.2 vs Pepperdine: 10.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
New Orleans: 36.0% vs Pepperdine: 29.3%
Blocks (L5) +55.7% more
Pepperdine: 3.3 vs New Orleans: 2.1
Steals (L5) +53.9% more
Pepperdine: 8.0 vs New Orleans: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 90.0 79
PEPP Score 67.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.3 / 36.0 28.0 / 41.0
Assists 15.8 / 13.5 23.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.1 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 43.8 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 72.1 89.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 38.6 35.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.0 / 5.2 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.2 6.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
PEPP
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -7.3 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
PEPP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -7.3 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PEPP
UNO
PEPP
UNO
ML
62% 20-12
52% 16-15
69% 22-10
57% 17-13
ATS
56% 18-14
52% 16-15
69% 22-10
57% 17-13
TTL
50% 16-16
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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