SAINT FRANCIS
RED FLASHSFPA
0-4 | Road
62
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
2-3 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
RED FLASH
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
SFPA By 1-7 points
10.7%
SFPA By 8-14 points
3.3%
LEH By 1-7 points
23.0%
LEH By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Francis
66
SAINT FRANCIS
Lehigh
76
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Saint Francis
70
SAINT FRANCIS
Lehigh
73
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
SFPA @ LEH
62 - 79
Nov 26, 2024
LEH @ SFPA
78 - 88
Nov 29, 2023
SFPA @ LEH
62 - 61
Nov 21, 2022
LEH @ SFPA
82 - 76
Nov 28, 2021
SFPA @ LEH
79 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.9% more
Lehigh: 2.7
vs
Saint Francis: 2.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Lehigh: 43.1%
vs
Saint Francis: 39.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Lehigh: 34.3%
vs
Saint Francis: 31.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Saint Francis: 72.5%
vs
Lehigh: 69.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score
66.0
62
LEH Score
76.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 31.7
33.0 / 31.0
Assists
12.6 / 13.7
16.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.3
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 39.9
47.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 72.5
65.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 32.8
37.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.8
12.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 13.1
15.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +5.8
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
SFPA
LEH
SFPA
ML
56%
19-15
68%
21-10
68%
23-11
67%
20-10
ATS
56%
19-15
68%
21-10
68%
23-11
67%
20-10
TTL
76%
26-8
58%
18-13
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
