Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonels @ Golden Flashes EKU @ KENT

EASTERN KENTUCKY

COLONELSEKU

1-2  |  Road

78
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

4-1  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
COLONELS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Eastern Kentucky)
ColonelsEKU (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

98.2%

Golden Flashes Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EKU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EKU)

EKU By 1-7 points

6.8%

EKU By 8-14 points

16.9%

KENT By 1-7 points

1.4%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
89
EASTERN KENTUCKY
68
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
71
EASTERN KENTUCKY
76
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colonels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Colonels (+10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 EKU @ KENT 78 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +19.7% more
Kent State: 15.4 vs Eastern Kentucky: 12.8
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Kent State: 13.6 vs Eastern Kentucky: 11.8
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Kent State: 46.0% vs Eastern Kentucky: 41.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Kent State: 74.6% vs Eastern Kentucky: 72.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EKU Score 89.0 78
KENT Score 68.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 31.7 32.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.4 / 12.8 17.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.6 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.0 / 41.6 51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 72.3 70.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 36.3 40.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.3 / 7.0 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 11.8 16.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1 (34.5%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
KENT Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.9
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
EKU
KENT
EKU
ML
53% 18-16
44% 14-18
65% 22-12
69% 22-10
ATS
65% 22-12
56% 18-14
65% 22-12
69% 22-10
TTL
44% 15-19
53% 17-15
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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