MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
1-4 | Road
83
LONGWOOD
LANCERSLONG
3-1 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
LANCERS
0%
HAWKS
--
LANCERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
LONGWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Longwood)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LONG -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LONG)
UMES By 1-7 points
4.0%
UMES By 8-14 points
0.8%
LONG By 1-7 points
13.7%
LONG By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
84
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Longwood
100
LONGWOOD
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
63
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Longwood
76
LONGWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lancers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lancers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lancers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Lancers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
UMES @ LONG
83 - 82
Dec 5, 2024
UMES @ LONG
76 - 80
Nov 15, 2023
LONG @ UMES
80 - 61
Nov 12, 2019
UMES @ LONG
55 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+158.3% more
Longwood: 10.6
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+15.9% more
Longwood: 2.6
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.3
Rebounding (L5)
+15.8% more
Longwood: 37.5
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 32.4
Assists (L5)
+11.9% more
Longwood: 13.3
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
84.0
83
LONG Score
100.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.3 / 28.3
24.0 / 37.0
Assists
13.3 / 11.9
12.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 41.2
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 72.5
88.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 32.4
37.0 / 39.0
Steals
10.6 / 4.1
14.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 18.2
19.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
LONG
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
LONG
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LONG
UMES
LONG
UMES
ML
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
81%
21-5
ATS
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
81%
21-5
TTL
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
100%
31-0
100%
26-0
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
Kansas Jayhawks Lose RB Yasin Willis Indefinitely, Backfield Dep…
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…