Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Patriots JAX @ GMU

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

2-2  |  Road

57
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:00 PM ET
EagleBank Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGE MASON

PATRIOTSGMU

4-0  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
PATRIOTS
0%
DOLPHINS --
PATRIOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
GEORGE MASON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (George Mason)
DolphinsJAX (-3.5) 0 PatriotsGMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

21.2%

Patriots Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GMU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GMU)

JAX By 1-7 points

13.7%

JAX By 8-14 points

4.8%

GMU By 1-7 points

25.3%

GMU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
64
JACKSONVILLE
72
GEORGE MASON
Simulated Score
69
JACKSONVILLE
74
GEORGE MASON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Patriots Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Patriots Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Patriots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Patriots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 JAX @ GMU 57 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.2% more
George Mason: 4.2 vs Jacksonville: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5) +19.7%
George Mason: 78.6% vs Jacksonville: 58.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
George Mason: 39.8% vs Jacksonville: 33.3%
Assists (L5) +20.8% more
Jacksonville: 15.1 vs George Mason: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 64.0 57
GMU Score 72.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.8 / 33.3 50.0 / 24.0
Assists 12.0 / 15.1 14.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.2 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 46.8 58.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 58.9 63.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 38.2 27.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.7 / 7.5 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 14.9 13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
GMU Advantage
23-10-0 (69.7%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
GMU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GMU
JAX
GMU
JAX
ML
55% 18-15
74% 23-8
73% 24-9
60% 18-12
ATS
55% 18-15
65% 20-11
73% 24-9
61% 19-12
TTL
58% 19-14
65% 20-11
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 6 hours ago
How Jaxon Kohler's Versatile Game Elevates BYU's Frontcourt
si 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Former Michigan State Forward Jaxon Kohler Finds New Home at BYU
newspub_live 1 month, 2 weeks ago
BYU Basketball: Late Offseason Big Man Options Emerge After Cour…
yahoo 2 months, 1 week ago
Outpouring of support following death of Jordan Devey — Utah nat…
deseret 2 months, 1 week ago