AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (South Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)
RAD By 1-7 points
9.3%
RAD By 8-14 points
2.7%
SC By 1-7 points
21.6%
SC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Radford
63
RADFORD
South Carolina
74
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Radford
61
RADFORD
South Carolina
74
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
RAD @ SC
58 - 87
Dec 22, 2024
RAD @ SC
48 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+40.8% more
South Carolina: 16.0
vs
Radford: 11.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
South Carolina: 77.6%
vs
Radford: 67.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
South Carolina: 34.7%
vs
Radford: 25.1%
Steals (L5)
+38.6% more
Radford: 6.8
vs
South Carolina: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RAD Score
63.0
58
SC Score
74.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 25.1
28.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.0 / 11.4
23.0 / 6.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.3
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 41.2
58.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 67.9
80.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 39.5
40.0 / 26.0
Steals
4.2 / 6.8
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 13.5
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
SC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
SC
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
RAD
SC
RAD
ML
72%
23-9
77%
23-7
68%
21-10
76%
22-7
ATS
69%
22-10
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
77%
23-7
TTL
50%
16-16
67%
20-10
100%
31-0
100%
30-0