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GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

0-4  |  Road

62
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 8:00 PM ET
Wintrust Arena
View Odds Details →

DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

2-2  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
📊
BLUE DEMONS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
BLUE DEMONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (DePaul)
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 Blue DemonsDEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

1.4%

Blue Demons Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEP -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)

GWEB By 1-7 points

1.1%

GWEB By 8-14 points

0.1%

DEP By 1-7 points

5.8%

DEP By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
56
GARDNER-WEBB
78
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
68
GARDNER-WEBB
75
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Demons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Demons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Demons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Blue Demons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 GWEB @ DEP 62 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +39.7% more
DePaul: 3.2 vs Gardner-Webb: 2.3
Assists (L5) +32.3% more
DePaul: 14.9 vs Gardner-Webb: 11.3
Rebounding (L5) +10.9% more
DePaul: 36.4 vs Gardner-Webb: 32.8
Turnovers (L5) +10.3% more
DePaul: 13.9 vs Gardner-Webb: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 56.0 62
DEP Score 78.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 27.7 32.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.9 / 11.3 29.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.3 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.9 / 42.8 55.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 66.2 81.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 32.8 36.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.2 12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 12.6 14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
DEP Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
GWEB
DEP
GWEB
ML
59% 19-13
73% 22-8
80% 24-6
63% 19-11
ATS
50% 16-16
73% 22-8
80% 24-6
63% 19-11
TTL
53% 17-15
53% 16-14
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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