BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
7-7 | Road
113
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
2-11 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
NETS
0%
CELTICS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BOS By 1-7 points
0.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
0.0%
BKN By 1-7 points
2.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
75
BOSTON
Brooklyn
102
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+11)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BKN @ BOS
111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026
BOS @ BKN
130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025
BKN @ BOS
113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025
BOS @ BKN
113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025
BKN @ BOS
96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.5% more
Brooklyn: 13.3
vs
Boston: 9.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Brooklyn: 78.3%
vs
Boston: 75.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+21.1% more
Boston: 47.9
vs
Brooklyn: 37.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Boston: 38.0%
vs
Brooklyn: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
75.0
113
BKN Score
102.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 38.0
37.0 / 45.0
Assists
25.7 / 26.1
25.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.6 / 5.7
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 45.9
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 75.4
70.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 47.9
39.0 / 49.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.2
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 9.3
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
BOS
BKN
BOS
ML
53%
50-45
57%
61-46
59%
48-34
53%
47-41
ATS
52%
48-44-3
59%
61-43-3
59%
48-34
53%
47-41
TTL
57%
54-41
56%
60-47
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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