MONTANA
GRIZZLIESMONT
4-2 | Road
81
TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
3-2 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
AGGIES
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Texas A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)
MONT By 1-7 points
0.5%
MONT By 8-14 points
0.1%
TA&M By 1-7 points
3.3%
TA&M By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Montana
60
MONTANA
Texas A&M
85
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
Montana
62
MONTANA
Texas A&M
80
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Aggies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
MONT @ TA&M
81 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+64.2% more
Texas A&M: 7.9
vs
Montana: 4.8
Blocks (L5)
+17.0% more
Texas A&M: 3.2
vs
Montana: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+9.2% more
Montana: 39.6
vs
Texas A&M: 35.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Montana: 48.4%
vs
Texas A&M: 40.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONT Score
60.0
81
TA&M Score
85.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 32.5
30.0 / 52.0
Assists
15.3 / 15.0
22.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 48.4
54.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 82.2
72.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 39.6
30.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.9 / 4.8
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 13.4
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONT
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: -0.4
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONT
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: -0.4
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.4
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
MONT
TA&M
MONT
ML
67%
20-10
39%
13-20
54%
15-13
73%
24-9
ATS
67%
20-10
55%
18-15
54%
15-13
73%
24-9
TTL
70%
21-9
59%
19-13-1
100%
28-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
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