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NORTHERN ILLINOIS

HUSKIESNIU

2-2  |  Road

57
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 8:00 PM ET
McLeod Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN IOWA

PANTHERSUNI

3-0  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
HUSKIES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Northern Iowa)
HuskiesNIU (-3.5) 0 PanthersUNI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

24.2%

Panthers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)

NIU By 1-7 points

15.3%

NIU By 8-14 points

5.8%

UNI By 1-7 points

26.2%

UNI By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
77
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
70
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
75
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 NIU @ UNI 57 - 70
Dec 7, 2024 NIU @ UNI 57 - 101
Dec 21, 2023 UNI @ NIU 76 - 63
Nov 26, 2022 NIU @ UNI 76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +115.2% more
Northern Iowa: 3.8 vs Northern Illinois: 1.8
Turnovers (L5) +33.4% more
Northern Illinois: 14.4 vs Northern Iowa: 9.6
Assists (L5) +13.3% more
Northern Illinois: 16.3 vs Northern Iowa: 14.1
Steals (L5) +10.4% more
Northern Illinois: 7.7 vs Northern Iowa: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NIU Score 70.0 57
UNI Score 77.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 41.9 35.0 / 40.0
Assists 14.1 / 16.3 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.8 / 1.8 8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 47.6 55.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 73.3 67.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 33.8 30.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.9 / 7.7 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 14.4 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
UNI Advantage
23-13-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
UNI Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -4.8
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
NIU
UNI
NIU
ML
51% 18-17
67% 20-10
56% 19-15
66% 19-10
ATS
49% 17-18
63% 19-11
56% 19-15
66% 19-10
TTL
69% 24-11
67% 20-10
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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