Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Monarchs @ Musketeers ODU @ XAV

OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

2-2  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Cintas Center
View Odds Details →

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

2-2  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
100%
📊
MUSKETEERS
0%
MONARCHS --
MUSKETEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
XAVIER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Xavier)
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 MusketeersXAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

0.5%

Musketeers Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around XAV -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (XAV)

ODU By 1-7 points

0.4%

ODU By 8-14 points

0.0%

XAV By 1-7 points

2.7%

XAV By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
59
OLD DOMINION
85
XAVIER
Simulated Score
78
OLD DOMINION
67
XAVIER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Musketeers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Monarchs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Musketeers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Monarchs (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 ODU @ XAV 69 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +34.0% more
Xavier: 7.5 vs Old Dominion: 5.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Xavier: 32.9% vs Old Dominion: 30.6%
Blocks (L5) +44.8% more
Old Dominion: 4.4 vs Xavier: 2.4
Rebounding (L5) +26.7% more
Old Dominion: 39.3 vs Xavier: 28.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 59.0 69
XAV Score 85.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 30.6 44.0 / 28.0
Assists 14.0 / 12.9 29.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.4 / 4.4 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.6 / 41.5 46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 67.7 / 73.7 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 28.8 / 39.3 48.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.6 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.8 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
XAV Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
XAV
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
XAV
ODU
XAV
ODU
ML
58% 19-14
52% 17-16
72% 23-9
67% 22-11
ATS
73% 24-9
70% 23-10
72% 23-9
67% 22-11
TTL
39% 13-20
70% 23-10
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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