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EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

1-2  |  Road

72
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Calihan Hall
View Odds Details →

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

1-3  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
TITANS
100%
EAGLES --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 TitansDETM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

88.5%

Titans Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EMU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)

EMU By 1-7 points

20.1%

EMU By 8-14 points

27.2%

DETM By 1-7 points

8.0%

DETM By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
53
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
68
EASTERN MICHIGAN
72
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 EMU @ DETM 72 - 62
Nov 30, 2024 DETM @ EMU 98 - 89
Nov 21, 2023 EMU @ DETM 76 - 72
Dec 18, 2022 DETM @ EMU 77 - 79
Dec 7, 2019 EMU @ DETM 55 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +16.8% more
Eastern Michigan: 8.3 vs Detroit Mercy: 6.9
Free Throw % (L5) +11.9%
Eastern Michigan: 75.6% vs Detroit Mercy: 63.6%
Blocks (L5) +10.3% more
Eastern Michigan: 3.0 vs Detroit Mercy: 2.7
Assists (L5) +24.8% more
Detroit Mercy: 14.0 vs Eastern Michigan: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 65.0 72
DETM Score 53.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 31.2 5.0 / 37.0
Assists 14.0 / 11.2 5.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.0 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 41.8 34.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 63.6 / 75.6 94.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 38.8 36.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.9 / 8.3 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 12.1 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
DETM Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
EMU
DETM
EMU
ML
58% 18-13
65% 20-11
50% 15-15
70% 21-9
ATS
61% 19-12
65% 20-11
50% 15-15
70% 21-9
TTL
61% 19-12
71% 22-9
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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