GEORGIA SOUTHERN
EAGLESGASO
3-2 | Road
66
GEORGIA TECH
YELLOW JACKETSGT
4-1 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
EAGLES
--
YELLOW JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)
GASO By 1-7 points
0.8%
GASO By 8-14 points
0.1%
GT By 1-7 points
4.8%
GT By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Southern
73
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Georgia Tech
96
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
Georgia Southern
70
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Georgia Tech
75
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
GASO @ GT
66 - 68
Nov 6, 2023
GASO @ GT
62 - 84
Nov 26, 2021
GASO @ GT
59 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+35.6% more
Georgia Tech: 15.0
vs
Georgia Southern: 11.1
Blocks (L5)
+32.1% more
Georgia Tech: 5.9
vs
Georgia Southern: 4.4
Rebounding (L5)
+17.4% more
Georgia Tech: 40.3
vs
Georgia Southern: 34.3
Assists (L5)
+8.2% more
Georgia Tech: 15.9
vs
Georgia Southern: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GASO Score
73.0
66
GT Score
96.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 38.0
18.0 / 32.0
Assists
15.9 / 14.7
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.9 / 4.4
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 50.2
39.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
65.3 / 69.9
67.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 34.3
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.1 / 9.3
9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 11.1
22.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
Advantage
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6%
Total +/-: +2.6
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
GASO
GT
GASO
ML
61%
19-12
56%
20-16
63%
19-11
58%
19-14
ATS
55%
17-14
64%
23-13
63%
19-11
58%
19-14
TTL
61%
19-12
61%
22-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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