Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Bulldogs URI @ YALE

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

3-1  |  Road

86
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 8:00 PM ET
John J. Lee Amphitheater
View Odds Details →

YALE

BULLDOGSYALE

3-0  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
RAMS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Rhode Island)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 BulldogsYALE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

84.1%

Bulldogs Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around URI -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

URI By 1-7 points

23.0%

URI By 8-14 points

27.2%

YALE By 1-7 points

10.7%

YALE By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
85
RHODE ISLAND
75
YALE
Simulated Score
68
RHODE ISLAND
71
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 URI @ YALE 86 - 77
Dec 2, 2024 YALE @ URI 78 - 84
Nov 26, 2023 YALE @ URI 72 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.8% more
Rhode Island: 10.8 vs Yale: 5.5
Turnovers (L5) +10.7% more
Rhode Island: 11.6 vs Yale: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +9.8% more
Rhode Island: 35.9 vs Yale: 32.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
Rhode Island: 80.5% vs Yale: 78.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 85.0 86
YALE Score 75.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 48.4 / 27.6 33.0 / 46.0
Assists 16.6 / 11.1 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.1 / 45.4 47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 78.3 / 80.5 86.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 35.9 31.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.5 / 10.8 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 11.6 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
YALE Advantage
24-7-0 (77.4%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
YALE Advantage
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
URI
YALE
URI
ML
48% 15-16
62% 20-12
58% 18-13
59% 19-13
ATS
65% 20-11
56% 18-14
58% 18-13
59% 19-13
TTL
61% 19-12
56% 18-14
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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