MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
1-2 | Road
73
SYRACUSE
ORANGESYR
3-0 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
ORANGE
0%
HAWKS
--
ORANGE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Syracuse)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SYR -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)
MONM By 1-7 points
0.1%
MONM By 8-14 points
0.0%
SYR By 1-7 points
1.4%
SYR By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
57
MONMOUTH
Syracuse
86
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Monmouth
65
MONMOUTH
Syracuse
78
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orange
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orange
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orange (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Orange (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
MONM @ SYR
73 - 78
Dec 12, 2022
MONM @ SYR
71 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.6% more
Syracuse: 8.5
vs
Monmouth: 6.8
Assists (L5)
+24.3% more
Syracuse: 15.6
vs
Monmouth: 12.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
Syracuse: 50.3%
vs
Monmouth: 41.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+30.4% more
Monmouth: 14.6
vs
Syracuse: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
57.0
73
SYR Score
86.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 34.9
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.6 / 12.6
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
6.2 / 7.4
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 41.4
50.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 72.2
58.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 37.4
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.5 / 6.8
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 14.6
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
SYR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
MONM
SYR
MONM
ML
78%
25-7
62%
21-13
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
ATS
69%
22-10
62%
21-13
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
TTL
66%
21-11
59%
20-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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