RIDER
BRONCSRID
1-3 | Road
65
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
4-1 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCS
100%
LONGHORNS
0%
BRONCS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEX -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
RID By 1-7 points
0.2%
RID By 8-14 points
0.0%
TEX By 1-7 points
1.7%
TEX By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Rider
60
RIDER
Texas
88
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Rider
55
RIDER
Texas
80
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
RID @ TEX
65 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Texas: 46.1
vs
Rider: 41.0
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Texas: 12.2
vs
Rider: 11.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Texas: 27.8%
vs
Rider: 22.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+32.9% more
Rider: 12.7
vs
Texas: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RID Score
60.0
65
TEX Score
88.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.8 / 22.9
37.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.2 / 11.1
19.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.1
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 43.3
55.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 69.9
65.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
46.1 / 41.0
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.0
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 12.7
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
RID
TEX
RID
ML
58%
21-15
72%
21-8
56%
19-15
66%
19-10
ATS
56%
20-16
72%
21-8
56%
19-15
66%
19-10
TTL
64%
23-13
62%
18-11
100%
34-0
100%
29-0
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