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WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

3-1  |  Road

59
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 9:00 PM ET
ExtraMile Arena
View Odds Details →

BOISE STATE

BRONCOSBOIS

4-1  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
SHOCKERS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
BOISE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Boise State)
ShockersWICH (-3.5) 0 BroncosBOIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Shockers Cover

0.8%

Broncos Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOIS -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOIS)

WICH By 1-7 points

0.6%

WICH By 8-14 points

0.1%

BOIS By 1-7 points

4.0%

BOIS By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
53
WICHITA STATE
77
BOISE STATE
Simulated Score
68
WICHITA STATE
72
BOISE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (-9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 WICH @ BOIS 59 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +33.6% more
Boise State: 11.5 vs Wichita State: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5) +12.2%
Boise State: 82.3% vs Wichita State: 70.1%
Blocks (L5) +76.2% more
Wichita State: 5.7 vs Boise State: 1.4
Steals (L5) +20.1% more
Wichita State: 6.7 vs Boise State: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WICH Score 53.0 59
BOIS Score 77.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 39.5 41.0 / 27.0
Assists 14.6 / 13.9 13.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.4 / 5.7 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 47.0 37.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 82.3 / 70.1 65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 40.6 32.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.4 / 6.7 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 8.6 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
BOIS
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
BOIS
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
BOIS
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOIS
WICH
BOIS
WICH
ML
50% 16-16
61% 22-14
61% 19-12
68% 23-11
ATS
50% 16-16
64% 23-13
61% 19-12
68% 23-11
TTL
56% 18-14
69% 25-11
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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