NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
10-7-2 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
12-4-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.12 | 0.864 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.12
--
Save %
0.864
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
STARS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
DAL @ NYI
1 - 2
Nov 18, 2025
NYI @ DAL
3 - 2
Feb 23, 2025
DAL @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 12, 2024
NYI @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 26, 2024
NYI @ DAL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+44.9% more
Dallas: 20.1
vs
New York: 13.9
Power Play % (L5)
+21.5%
Dallas: 39.0%
vs
New York: 17.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+21.2% more
Dallas: 4.3
vs
New York: 3.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.8% more
New York: 14.1
vs
Dallas: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
3
DAL Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 14.1
6.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 56.3
63.5 / 36.5
Hits
20.1 / 13.9
16.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
3900.0 / 1748.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.7 / 26.0
24.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 3.6
1.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NYI
DAL
NYI
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
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