CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
5-12-3 | Road
2
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
9-5-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.14 | 0.818 | -- |
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 2.00 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.14
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.818
Save %
Ldr 0.905
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
BLACKHAWKS
0%
FLAMES
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CHI By 1 goal
19.7%
CHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
1
CALGARY
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
CGY @ CHI
3 - 1
Nov 18, 2025
CGY @ CHI
2 - 5
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ CGY
4 - 0
Jan 13, 2025
CGY @ CHI
5 - 2
Dec 21, 2024
CHI @ CGY
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+24.8%
Chicago: 36.6%
vs
Calgary: 11.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.2% more
Calgary: 34.6
vs
Chicago: 26.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.4%
Calgary: 53.6%
vs
Chicago: 43.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.7% more
Calgary: 15.4
vs
Chicago: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
1.0
2
CHI Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 15.4
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
43.2 / 53.6
44.1 / 55.9
Hits
18.4 / 19.7
13.0 / 43.0
Power Play %
36.6 / 11.9
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.2 / 34.6
23.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 4.8
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CGY
CHI
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
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