LAMAR
CARDINALSLAM
2-1 | Road
79
UL MONROE
WARHAWKSULM
1-4 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
WARHAWKS
100%
CARDINALS
--
WARHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
LAMAR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Lamar)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAM -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAM)
LAM By 1-7 points
3.3%
LAM By 8-14 points
10.7%
ULM By 1-7 points
0.5%
ULM By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Lamar
93
LAMAR
UL Monroe
68
UL MONROE
Simulated Score
Lamar
68
LAMAR
UL Monroe
72
UL MONROE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Warhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
LAM @ ULM
79 - 66
Dec 14, 2023
ULM @ LAM
73 - 97
Dec 17, 2022
LAM @ ULM
59 - 83
Dec 20, 2021
ULM @ LAM
80 - 77
Dec 9, 2020
LAM @ ULM
63 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+59.4% more
Lamar: 5.8
vs
UL Monroe: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+16.4% more
Lamar: 7.8
vs
UL Monroe: 6.5
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
Lamar: 38.9
vs
UL Monroe: 32.9
Turnovers (L5)
+15.8% more
UL Monroe: 13.4
vs
Lamar: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAM Score
93.0
79
ULM Score
68.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 32.7
33.0 / 23.0
Assists
14.4 / 13.8
10.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.3 / 5.8
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 42.0
41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 67.7
54.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 38.9
39.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.8
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 11.6
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAM
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
ULM
4-28-0
(12.5%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
ULM
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ULM
LAM
ULM
LAM
ML
50%
16-16
55%
16-13
70%
21-9
59%
17-12
ATS
78%
25-7
52%
15-14
70%
21-9
60%
18-12
TTL
59%
19-13
72%
21-8
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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