Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Old Dominion @ GA Southern ODU @ GASO

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

7-3  |  Road

45
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 1:00 PM ET
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

GA SOUTHERNGASO

5-5  |  Home

10
Key Game
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
@
Tripp Bryant
KEY GAME

Tripp Bryant

#95 | Place kicker
Player
Ian Brandt None-None
Tripp Bryant None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OLD DOMINION
0%
📊
GA SOUTHERN
100%
OLD DOMINION --
GA SOUTHERN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
86.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Old Dominion)
Old DominionODU (-3.5) 0 GA SouthernGASO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Old Dominion Cover

61.2%

GA Southern Cover

38.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ODU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

ODU By 1-6 points

17.0%

ODU By 7-13 points

18.0%

GASO By 1-6 points

14.7%

GASO By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
45
OLD DOMINION
41
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
24
OLD DOMINION
27
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Old Dominion Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim GA Southern Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Old Dominion (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Sim GA Southern (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 86.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 ODU @ GASO 45 - 10
Oct 24, 2024 GASO @ ODU 19 - 47
Nov 18, 2023 ODU @ GASO 20 - 17
Oct 22, 2022 GASO @ ODU 28 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.5% more
Old Dominion: 1.2 vs Georgia Southern: 1.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +13.8% more
Old Dominion: 228.6 vs Georgia Southern: 197.1
First Downs (L5) +13.7% more
Georgia Southern: 23.4 vs Old Dominion: 20.6
Total Yards (L5) +8.8% more
Georgia Southern: 489.6 vs Old Dominion: 449.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 45.0 45
GASO Score 41.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.4 / 20.6 13.0 / 32.0
Rushing Yards 197.1 / 228.6 49.0 / 376.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.29 / 0.58
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 489.6 / 449.8 249.0 / 551.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 1.2 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
GASO Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
GASO Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.3
GASO
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
ODU
GASO
ODU
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
ATS
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
TTL
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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