Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Washington St @ James Madison WSU @ JMU

WASHINGTON STATE

WASHINGTON STWSU

5-5  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 1:00 PM ET
Bridgeforth Stadium
View Odds Details →

JAMES MADISON

JAMES MADISONJMU

9-1  |  Home

24
Key Game
Jack Stevens
KEY GAME

Jack Stevens

#38 | Place kicker
@
Patrick Rea
KEY GAME

Patrick Rea

#11 | Punter
Player
Jack Stevens None-None
Patrick Rea None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WASHINGTON ST
100%
📊
JAMES MADISON
0%
WASHINGTON ST --
JAMES MADISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
34.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
JAMES MADISON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (James Madison)
Washington StWSU (-3.5) 0 James MadisonJMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Washington St Cover

15.9%

James Madison Cover

84.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around JMU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JMU)

WSU By 1-6 points

7.9%

WSU By 7-13 points

4.7%

JMU By 1-6 points

12.9%

JMU By 7-13 points

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
10
WASHINGTON STATE
24
JAMES MADISON
Simulated Score
24
WASHINGTON STATE
31
JAMES MADISON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI James Madison Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim James Madison Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI James Madison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Sim James Madison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 34.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 WSU @ JMU 20 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +79.9% more
James Madison: 249.9 vs Washington State: 138.9
Total Yards (L5) +69.0% more
James Madison: 518.0 vs Washington State: 306.6
First Downs (L5) +37.0% more
James Madison: 25.4 vs Washington State: 18.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +18.0% more
James Madison: 0.5 vs Washington State: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 10.0 20
JMU Score 24.0 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.4 / 18.5 14.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 249.9 / 138.9 175.0 / 130.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.36 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 518.0 / 306.6 319.0 / 301.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.2 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
JMU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 31.6 ATS +/-: +17.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
JMU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 31.6 ATS +/-: +17.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
JMU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +7.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JMU
WSU
JMU
WSU
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
ATS
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
TTL
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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