Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Hawai'i @ UNLV HAW @ UNLV

HAWAI'I

HAWAI'IHAW

7-3  |  Road

10
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 10:30 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
View Odds Details →

UNLV

UNLVUNLV

8-2  |  Home

38
Key Game
Kodi DeCambra
KEY GAME

Kodi DeCambra

#24 | Defensive Back
@
Cohen Fuller
KEY GAME

Cohen Fuller

#0 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Kodi DeCambra None-None
Cohen Fuller None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
HAWAI'I
100%
📊
UNLV
0%
HAWAI'I --
UNLV --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
86.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
UNLV
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (UNLV)
Hawai'iHAW (-3.5) 0 UNLVUNLV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawai'i Cover

38.8%

UNLV Cover

61.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UNLV -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNLV)

HAW By 1-6 points

14.7%

HAW By 7-13 points

12.1%

UNLV By 1-6 points

17.0%

UNLV By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
41
HAWAI'I
45
UNLV
Simulated Score
27
HAWAI'I
31
UNLV
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI UNLV Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim UNLV Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI UNLV (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Sim UNLV (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 86.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 UNLV @ HAW 21 - 6
Nov 21, 2025 HAW @ UNLV 10 - 38
Nov 9, 2024 UNLV @ HAW 29 - 27
Sep 30, 2023 HAW @ UNLV 20 - 44
Nov 19, 2022 UNLV @ HAW 25 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +71.2% more
UNLV: 197.5 vs Hawai'i: 115.4
First Downs (L5) +13.7% more
UNLV: 24.3 vs Hawai'i: 21.4
Turnovers (L5) +9.8% more
UNLV: 1.2 vs Hawai'i: 1.1
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Hawai'i: 0.5 vs UNLV: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAW Score 41.0 10
UNLV Score 45.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.3 / 21.4 30.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards 197.5 / 115.4 217.0 / 68.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.73 / 0.3
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 472.9 / 438.4 470.0 / 231.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.1 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAW
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -8.3
UNLV Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAW
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -8.3
UNLV Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HAW
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
UNLV
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNLV
HAW
UNLV
HAW
ML
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
ATS
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
TTL
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Pete Golding Emphasizes Execution Over Scheme Change as Ole Miss…
si 1 day ago
Iowa's Big Ten Championship Hopes Remain Alive Despite Ohio Stat…
yahoo 3 days, 18 hours ago
Ole Miss Enters Bye Week Facing Critical Defensive Overhaul Afte…
si 4 days, 23 hours ago
Ryan Day's Heartwarming Letter to Iowa Children's Hospital Steal…
yahoo 5 days, 5 hours ago
ESPN College GameDay Heads to Iowa City for Big Ten Showdown: Oh…
si 5 days, 12 hours ago