CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
6-6 | Road
130
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
10-2 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
NUGGETS
100%
BULLS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
0.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
0.1%
DEN By 1-7 points
0.0%
DEN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
133
CHICAGO
Denver
89
DENVER
Simulated Score
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Denver
110
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (-13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u240.0
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
DEN @ CHI
136 - 120
Nov 17, 2025
CHI @ DEN
130 - 127
Oct 14, 2025
CHI @ DEN
117 - 124
Mar 24, 2025
CHI @ DEN
129 - 119
Jan 27, 2025
DEN @ CHI
121 - 129
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.9% more
Chicago: 6.4
vs
Denver: 3.8
Turnovers (L5)
+21.9% more
Chicago: 16.0
vs
Denver: 12.5
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Chicago: 28.8
vs
Denver: 26.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Denver: 49.7%
vs
Chicago: 46.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
133.0
130
DEN Score
89.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 38.3
39.0 / 36.0
Assists
26.2 / 28.8
21.0 / 31.0
Blocks
3.8 / 6.4
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 46.0
47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 79.6
84.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
44.6 / 48.3
53.0 / 53.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.4
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 16.0
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
CHI
DEN
CHI
ML
54%
57-48
56%
54-42
55%
47-39
57%
46-35
ATS
63%
65-38-2
65%
62-33-1
55%
47-39
57%
46-35
TTL
54%
56-48-1
58%
56-40
100%
86-0
100%
81-0
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