CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
2-3 | Road
80
PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
2-2 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
ROADRUNNERS
100%
VIKINGS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
CSUB By 1-7 points
0.3%
CSUB By 8-14 points
0.0%
PRST By 1-7 points
2.2%
PRST By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Bakersfield
51
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Portland State
78
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
Cal State Bakersfield
70
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Portland State
75
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
CSUB @ PRST
80 - 93
Dec 21, 2024
PRST @ CSUB
59 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+70.4% more
Portland State: 18.2
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+23.9% more
Portland State: 6.9
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 5.6
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
Portland State: 14.0
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 12.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Portland State: 33.5%
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 27.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUB Score
51.0
80
PRST Score
78.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 27.9
56.0 / 41.0
Assists
18.2 / 10.7
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.5 / 7.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 42.3
60.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 70.1
65.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 38.5
33.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.6
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 12.8
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUB
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUB
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
CSUB
PRST
CSUB
ML
65%
20-11
55%
17-14
71%
22-9
71%
22-9
ATS
71%
22-9
61%
19-12
71%
22-9
71%
22-9
TTL
47%
14-16-1
58%
18-13
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
