MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
10-6-2 | Road
3
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
9-7-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 2.79 | 0.870 | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 2.77 | 0.906 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.79
GAA
Ldr 2.77
0.870
Save %
Ldr 0.906
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
CANADIENS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
CBJ @ MTL
5 - 2
Mar 26, 2026
CBJ @ MTL
1 - 2
Nov 17, 2025
MTL @ CBJ
3 - 4
Dec 23, 2024
MTL @ CBJ
4 - 5
Nov 27, 2024
MTL @ CBJ
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+15.8%
Columbus: 22.2%
vs
Montreal: 6.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.4% more
Columbus: 28.3
vs
Montreal: 24.6
Takeaways (L5)
+14.5% more
Columbus: 6.1
vs
Montreal: 5.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.5%
Columbus: 53.6%
vs
Montreal: 45.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
2.0
3
CBJ Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 17.3
12.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
53.6 / 45.1
40.4 / 59.6
Hits
18.5 / 25.1
15.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
22.2 / 6.4
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 24.6
23.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 5.3
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
MTL
CBJ
MTL
ML
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…