RICE
OWLSRICE
2-3 | Road
66
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
4-0 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
VOLUNTEERS
0%
OWLS
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
RICE By 1-7 points
0.4%
RICE By 8-14 points
0.0%
TENN By 1-7 points
2.7%
TENN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
59
RICE
Tennessee
85
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Rice
65
RICE
Tennessee
82
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
RICE @ TENN
66 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+66.6% more
Tennessee: 21.0
vs
Rice: 12.6
Blocks (L5)
+28.0% more
Tennessee: 4.7
vs
Rice: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+21.5% more
Tennessee: 45.8
vs
Rice: 37.7
Steals (L5)
+9.3% more
Tennessee: 7.3
vs
Rice: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
59.0
66
TENN Score
85.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 41.2
32.0 / 29.0
Assists
21.0 / 12.6
23.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.7 / 3.7
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 42.2
52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 73.1
77.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
45.8 / 37.7
47.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.7
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.1
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
RICE
TENN
RICE
ML
46%
17-20
53%
16-14
64%
21-12
53%
16-14
ATS
54%
20-17
60%
18-12
64%
21-12
53%
16-14
TTL
76%
28-9
77%
23-7
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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