Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Golden Flashes WRST @ KENT

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

1-2  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 12:00 PM ET
Colonial Hall
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

2-1  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
RAIDERS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Wright State)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

81.6%

Golden Flashes Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

WRST By 1-7 points

24.3%

WRST By 8-14 points

26.8%

KENT By 1-7 points

12.2%

KENT By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
WRIGHT STATE
74
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
73
WRIGHT STATE
78
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raiders (-4) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u157.0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 WRST @ KENT 72 - 76
Nov 16, 2019 KENT @ WRST 72 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +22.0% more
Wright State: 8.2 vs Kent State: 6.4
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Wright State: 13.3 vs Kent State: 11.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.4%
Wright State: 44.7% vs Kent State: 36.3%
Blocks (L5) +10.7% more
Kent State: 3.5 vs Wright State: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 83.0 72
KENT Score 74.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 44.7 22.0 / 25.0
Assists 17.1 / 17.6 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.2 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 50.2 40.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 71.0 81.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 34.8 46.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.4 / 8.2 9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 13.3 18.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
WRST
KENT
WRST
ML
53% 18-16
37% 13-22
65% 22-12
63% 22-13
ATS
65% 22-12
46% 16-19
65% 22-12
63% 22-13
TTL
44% 15-19
63% 22-13
100% 34-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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