NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
6-9-4 | Road
0
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
9-5-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sergei Murashov
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 3.03 | 0.857 | -- |
| Sergei Murashov | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.03
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
PREDATORS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
NSH By 1 goal
12.1%
NSH By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Nashville
3
NASHVILLE
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 4
Nov 14, 2025
PIT @ NSH
1 - 2
Feb 1, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 3
Dec 19, 2024
PIT @ NSH
5 - 4
Apr 15, 2024
NSH @ PIT
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+83.7% more
Pittsburgh: 14.4
vs
Nashville: 7.9
Takeaways (L5)
+41.3% more
Pittsburgh: 4.7
vs
Nashville: 3.3
Power Play % (L5)
+6.8%
Pittsburgh: 25.5%
vs
Nashville: 18.7%
Hits (L5)
+20.6% more
Nashville: 18.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NSH Score
3.0
0
PIT Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.4 / 7.9
15.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
47.9 / 52.2
41.1 / 58.9
Hits
14.3 / 18.0
15.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
2548.0 / 1868.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 28.0
22.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 3.3
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NSH
PIT
NSH
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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