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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

8-9-2  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 5:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
View Odds Details →

TAMPA BAY

LIGHTNINGTB

9-6-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Kevin Lankinen
GOALTENDER

Kevin Lankinen

#32 | Goaltender
@
J.J. Moser
GOALTENDER

J.J. Moser

#90 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Kevin Lankinen None-None 2.00 0.933 --
J.J. Moser None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 GAA --
0.933 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
📊
LIGHTNING
0%
CANUCKS --
LIGHTNING --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TAMPA BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Tampa Bay)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 LightningTB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

30.9%

Lightning Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TB)

VAN By 1 goal

12.1%

VAN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

TB By 1 goal

19.7%

TB By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
VANCOUVER
3
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
3
VANCOUVER
4
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lightning Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lightning Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lightning (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Lightning (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 TB @ VAN 6 - 2
Nov 16, 2025 VAN @ TB 6 - 2
Dec 8, 2024 TB @ VAN 4 - 2
Oct 15, 2024 VAN @ TB 1 - 4
Dec 12, 2023 TB @ VAN 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +13.7% more
Tampa Bay: 22.7 vs Vancouver: 20.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +27.1% more
Vancouver: 20.2 vs Tampa Bay: 14.8
Power Play % (L5) +21.5%
Vancouver: 35.1% vs Tampa Bay: 13.5%
Takeaways (L5) +17.2% more
Vancouver: 4.3 vs Tampa Bay: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.0 6
TB Score 3.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.8 / 20.2 8.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 44.3 / 47.6 47.5 / 52.5
Hits 22.7 / 20.0 18.0 / 28.0
Power Play % 13.5 / 35.1 0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 25.7 / 27.0 30.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 3.6 / 4.3 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
62%MONEY38%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
VAN
TB
VAN
ML
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
ATS
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
TTL
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
100% 4-0
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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