VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
8-4-5 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
8-7-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carl Lindbom
#30 | G@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Lindbom | None-None | 2.78 | 0.893 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 1.85 | 0.920 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.78
GAA
Ldr 1.85
0.893
Save %
Ldr 0.920
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
WILD
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
17.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
37.2%
MIN By 1 goal
6.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Minnesota
1
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.0% more
Vegas: 32.2
vs
Minnesota: 27.1
Takeaways (L5)
+11.7% more
Vegas: 4.5
vs
Minnesota: 4.0
Power Play % (L5)
+3.3%
Vegas: 15.9%
vs
Minnesota: 12.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
2
MIN Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.1 / 12.8
16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
50.4 / 50.1
51.9 / 48.1
Hits
18.5 / 17.3
31.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
12.7 / 15.9
25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
27.1 / 32.2
28.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.5
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
VGK
MIN
VGK
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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