NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
10-6-2 | Road
1
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
12-1-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.08 | 0.889 | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.08
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
ISLANDERS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 4, 2025
COL @ NYI
3 - 6
Nov 16, 2025
NYI @ COL
1 - 4
Jan 28, 2025
COL @ NYI
2 - 5
Oct 14, 2024
NYI @ COL
6 - 2
Jan 2, 2024
NYI @ COL
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+39.7% more
Colorado: 34.1
vs
New York: 24.4
Takeaways (L5)
+24.8% more
Colorado: 4.8
vs
New York: 3.9
Hits (L5)
+14.3% more
Colorado: 17.5
vs
New York: 15.3
Power Play % (L5)
+7.7%
New York: 26.2%
vs
Colorado: 18.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.0
1
COL Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 14.1
11.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
51.6 / 55.7
42.6 / 57.4
Hits
17.5 / 15.3
19.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
1850.0 / 2621.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
34.1 / 24.4
28.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 3.9
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
NYI
COL
NYI
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0-1
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