BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
1-11 | Road
129
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
1-11 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
NETS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
10.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
21.6%
WSH By 1-7 points
2.7%
WSH By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
132
BROOKLYN
Washington
114
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
119
BROOKLYN
Washington
112
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.0
Win
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ BKN
115 - 121
Feb 7, 2026
WSH @ BKN
113 - 127
Jan 2, 2026
BKN @ WSH
99 - 119
Nov 16, 2025
BKN @ WSH
129 - 106
Mar 29, 2025
BKN @ WSH
115 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.4% more
Brooklyn: 7.2
vs
Washington: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.7%
Brooklyn: 77.5%
vs
Washington: 70.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+29.3% more
Washington: 16.0
vs
Brooklyn: 12.4
Blocks (L5)
+28.8% more
Washington: 5.6
vs
Brooklyn: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
132.0
129
WSH Score
114.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 30.8
35.0 / 41.0
Assists
23.7 / 22.6
21.0 / 32.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.4
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 41.8
44.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 77.5
91.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 34.6
33.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.2
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 12.4
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BKN
WSH
BKN
ML
70%
112-49
53%
50-45
47%
39-44
59%
48-34
ATS
69%
111-49-1
52%
48-44-3
47%
39-44
59%
48-34
TTL
74%
119-41-1
57%
54-41
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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