GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
8-6 | Road
124
NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
2-10 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
PELICANS
100%
WARRIORS
--
PELICANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
GS By 1-7 points
25.3%
GS By 8-14 points
26.2%
NO By 1-7 points
13.7%
NO By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
122
GOLDEN STATE
New Orleans
114
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Golden State
109
GOLDEN STATE
New Orleans
118
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pelicans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pelicans (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim
Pelicans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o229.0
Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim
u229.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
GS @ NO
109 - 113
Nov 29, 2025
NO @ GS
96 - 104
Nov 16, 2025
GS @ NO
124 - 106
Mar 28, 2025
GS @ NO
111 - 95
Nov 22, 2024
GS @ NO
112 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.1% more
Golden State: 5.4
vs
New Orleans: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+16.0% more
Golden State: 10.5
vs
New Orleans: 8.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Golden State: 82.1%
vs
New Orleans: 76.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
New Orleans: 44.8%
vs
Golden State: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
122.0
124
NO Score
114.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 36.1
28.0 / 43.0
Assists
23.1 / 23.1
22.0 / 34.0
Blocks
2.6 / 5.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 43.2
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 82.1
76.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 39.0
45.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.9 / 10.5
11.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 15.3
21.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
Advantage
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
GS
NO
GS
ML
62%
98-61
55%
95-79
58%
48-35
58%
49-35
ATS
68%
107-51-1
58%
101-73
58%
48-35
58%
49-35
TTL
75%
119-40
77%
134-40
100%
83-0
100%
84-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…