ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
8-5 | Road
124
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
8-5 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
SUNS
100%
HAWKS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-86.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +86.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -86.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
0.0%
ATL By 8-14 points
0.0%
PHX By 1-7 points
0.0%
PHX By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
111
ATLANTA
Phoenix
25
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Atlanta
108
ATLANTA
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (-2)
Win
Proj Spread: -86.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
PHX @ ATL
103 - 110
Nov 16, 2025
ATL @ PHX
124 - 122
Jan 14, 2025
PHX @ ATL
117 - 122
Jan 9, 2025
ATL @ PHX
115 - 123
Mar 21, 2024
ATL @ PHX
115 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.0% more
Atlanta: 12.8
vs
Phoenix: 9.2
Blocks (L5)
+26.0% more
Atlanta: 6.0
vs
Phoenix: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+25.6% more
Atlanta: 33.1
vs
Phoenix: 24.6
Turnovers (L5)
+21.6% more
Atlanta: 16.5
vs
Phoenix: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
111.0
124
PHX Score
25.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 42.1
33.0 / 33.0
Assists
24.6 / 33.1
23.0 / 35.0
Blocks
4.4 / 6.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 50.4
48.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 76.3
95.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 41.0
47.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.2 / 12.8
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 16.5
17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
ATL
PHX
ATL
ML
57%
60-45
50%
52-52
51%
45-43
55%
48-40
ATS
58%
59-43-3
53%
55-48-1
51%
45-43
55%
48-40
TTL
59%
61-42-2
53%
55-48-1
100%
88-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Hawks Look to Bounce Back Against Spurs in Preseason Clash