CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
6-5 | Road
147
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
4-8 | Home
150
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
JAZZ
100%
BULLS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.4%
CHI By 8-14 points
21.6%
UTAH By 1-7 points
20.1%
UTAH By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
93
CHICAGO
Utah
89
UTAH
Simulated Score
Chicago
109
CHICAGO
Utah
112
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u244.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u244.5
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
UTAH @ CHI
126 - 128
Nov 16, 2025
CHI @ UTAH
147 - 150
Mar 17, 2025
CHI @ UTAH
111 - 97
Nov 4, 2024
UTAH @ CHI
135 - 126
Mar 6, 2024
CHI @ UTAH
119 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.0% more
Chicago: 9.1
vs
Utah: 6.5
Blocks (L5)
+19.3% more
Chicago: 4.6
vs
Utah: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+34.1% more
Utah: 32.5
vs
Chicago: 24.3
Turnovers (L5)
+15.0% more
Utah: 17.8
vs
Chicago: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
93.0
147
UTAH Score
89.0
150
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 38.5
37.0 / 38.0
Assists
32.5 / 24.3
29.0 / 38.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.6
6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 46.5
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 72.4
83.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 42.4
53.0 / 60.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.1
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 15.4
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CHI
UTAH
CHI
ML
60%
96-63
56%
54-42
48%
40-43
57%
46-35
ATS
68%
108-51
65%
62-33-1
48%
40-43
57%
46-35
TTL
75%
119-39-1
58%
56-40
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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