STETSON
HATTERSSTET
1-2 | Road
65
WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
1-2 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
HATTERS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WESTERN CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Western Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WCU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)
STET By 1-7 points
13.7%
STET By 8-14 points
4.8%
WCU By 1-7 points
25.3%
WCU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
62
STETSON
Western Carolina
70
WESTERN CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Stetson
72
STETSON
Western Carolina
78
WESTERN CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
STET @ WCU
65 - 76
Nov 24, 2019
WCU @ STET
70 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.4% more
Western Carolina: 8.4
vs
Stetson: 6.5
Blocks (L5)
+15.4% more
Western Carolina: 3.6
vs
Stetson: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+14.0% more
Western Carolina: 40.4
vs
Stetson: 35.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.6%
Western Carolina: 68.9%
vs
Stetson: 62.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
62.0
65
WCU Score
70.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.8 / 33.4
43.0 / 24.0
Assists
13.4 / 15.2
20.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.1
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 42.0
49.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 62.3
73.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 35.4
41.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.5
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 15.0
18.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
WCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
WCU
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WCU
STET
WCU
STET
ML
63%
19-11
55%
18-15
76%
22-7
73%
24-9
ATS
73%
22-8
64%
21-12
77%
23-7
73%
24-9
TTL
67%
20-10
61%
20-13
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
