CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
2-1 | Road
77
MASSACHUSETTS
MINUTEMENMASS
2-1 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
0%
MINUTEMEN
100%
BLUE DEVILS
--
MINUTEMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Central Connecticut)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCSU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)
CCSU By 1-7 points
0.6%
CCSU By 8-14 points
3.3%
MASS By 1-7 points
0.1%
MASS By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
91
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Massachusetts
59
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
65
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Massachusetts
82
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Minutemen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Minutemen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
CCSU @ MASS
77 - 84
Dec 4, 2024
CCSU @ MASS
73 - 69
Nov 22, 2023
CCSU @ MASS
60 - 89
Nov 7, 2022
CCSU @ MASS
67 - 94
Nov 16, 2019
CCSU @ MASS
43 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.8% more
Central Connecticut: 4.6
vs
Massachusetts: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+9.0% more
Central Connecticut: 42.1
vs
Massachusetts: 38.3
Turnovers (L5)
+17.0% more
Massachusetts: 13.4
vs
Central Connecticut: 11.5
Assists (L5)
+16.3% more
Massachusetts: 16.4
vs
Central Connecticut: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
91.0
77
MASS Score
59.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 31.3
38.0 / 40.0
Assists
16.4 / 14.1
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.9 / 4.6
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 40.3
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 70.4
48.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 42.1
44.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.8 / 6.8
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 11.5
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
MASS
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
MASS
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
CCSU
MASS
CCSU
ML
44%
14-18
57%
17-13
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
ATS
47%
15-17
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
TTL
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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