QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
1-2 | Road
70
MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
0-3 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
BLACK BEARS
100%
BOBCATS
--
BLACK BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUIN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
QUIN By 1-7 points
10.7%
QUIN By 8-14 points
21.6%
ME By 1-7 points
2.7%
ME By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
84
QUINNIPIAC
Maine
66
MAINE
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
68
QUINNIPIAC
Maine
72
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
QUIN @ ME
70 - 64
Nov 15, 2024
ME @ QUIN
55 - 58
Dec 11, 2021
ME @ QUIN
47 - 73
Dec 15, 2019
QUIN @ ME
81 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.0% more
Quinnipiac: 4.9
vs
Maine: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+17.6% more
Quinnipiac: 33.3
vs
Maine: 27.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Quinnipiac: 71.7%
vs
Maine: 62.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Maine: 30.3%
vs
Quinnipiac: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
84.0
70
ME Score
66.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 28.6
29.0 / 17.0
Assists
10.5 / 10.9
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.9
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 40.9
39.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
62.8 / 71.7
67.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
27.4 / 33.3
32.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.7
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 13.3
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
ME
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
QUIN
ME
QUIN
ML
45%
14-17
66%
21-11
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
ATS
55%
17-14
59%
19-13
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
TTL
55%
17-14
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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