Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / River Hawks @ Demon Deacons UML @ WAKE

UMASS LOWELL

RIVER HAWKSUML

1-4  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 2:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

3-1  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
0%
RIVER HAWKS --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Wake Forest)
River HawksUML (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

River Hawks Cover

0.0%

Demon Deacons Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAKE -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

UML By 1-7 points

0.0%

UML By 8-14 points

0.0%

WAKE By 1-7 points

0.0%

WAKE By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
UMASS LOWELL
107
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
60
UMASS LOWELL
75
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 UML @ WAKE 75 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +83.9% more
Wake Forest: 4.3 vs UMass Lowell: 2.4
Steals (L5) +64.0% more
Wake Forest: 9.9 vs UMass Lowell: 6.0
Rebounding (L5) +38.5% more
Wake Forest: 42.3 vs UMass Lowell: 30.5
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
Wake Forest: 73.1% vs UMass Lowell: 71.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UML Score 57.0 75
WAKE Score 107.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.2 / 38.7 43.0 / 27.0
Assists 14.8 / 15.0 19.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.4 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.2 / 43.0 56.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 71.0 83.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 42.3 / 30.5 37.0 / 30.0
Steals 9.9 / 6.0 14.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 14.4 7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
WAKE Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.2
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
UML
WAKE
UML
ML
49% 17-18
70% 23-10
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
ATS
66% 23-12
70% 23-10
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
TTL
60% 21-14
58% 19-14
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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