Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Ramblers CSU @ LUC

COLORADO STATE

RAMSCSU

3-0  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 5:00 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

1-3  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
RAMBLERS
100%
RAMS --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Colorado State)
RamsCSU (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

69.1%

Ramblers Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)

CSU By 1-7 points

27.2%

CSU By 8-14 points

23.0%

LUC By 1-7 points

18.6%

LUC By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
74
COLORADO STATE
69
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
70
COLORADO STATE
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 CSU @ LUC 80 - 67
Nov 26, 2019 CSU @ LUC 61 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +25.5% more
Colorado State: 19.7 vs Loyola Chicago: 14.7
Steals (L5) +15.2% more
Colorado State: 4.5 vs Loyola Chicago: 3.8
Rebounding (L5) +11.6% more
Colorado State: 38.8 vs Loyola Chicago: 34.3
Field Goal % (L5) +10.8%
Colorado State: 51.2% vs Loyola Chicago: 40.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSU Score 74.0 80
LUC Score 69.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 41.9 37.0 / 47.0
Assists 14.7 / 19.7 10.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.7 / 1.4 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 51.2 47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 86.4 68.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 38.8 26.0 / 32.0
Steals 3.8 / 4.5 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.4 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.7
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
CSU
LUC
CSU
ML
55% 18-15
56% 19-15
50% 16-16
65% 20-11
ATS
64% 21-12
62% 21-13
50% 16-16
65% 20-11
TTL
76% 25-8
56% 19-15
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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