JAMES MADISON
DUKESJMU
2-2 | Road
79
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
2-1 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
DUKES
100%
SHARKS
0%
DUKES
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
JMU By 1-7 points
0.1%
JMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIU By 1-7 points
1.1%
LIU By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
James Madison
70
JAMES MADISON
Long Island University
100
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
James Madison
60
JAMES MADISON
Long Island University
85
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
JMU @ LIU
79 - 88
Dec 18, 2022
LIU @ JMU
79 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.8% more
Long Island University: 8.9
vs
James Madison: 5.9
Turnovers (L5)
+40.1% more
Long Island University: 15.9
vs
James Madison: 11.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Long Island University: 39.3
vs
James Madison: 35.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Long Island University: 40.4%
vs
James Madison: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JMU Score
70.0
79
LIU Score
100.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 32.2
47.0 / 44.0
Assists
12.5 / 14.2
17.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.6 / 5.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 43.7
59.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
60.9 / 71.5
60.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
39.3 / 35.2
32.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.9 / 5.9
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 11.3
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JMU
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: +3.4
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
JMU
LIU
JMU
ML
60%
21-14
64%
21-12
69%
24-11
66%
21-11
ATS
63%
22-13
67%
22-11
69%
24-11
66%
21-11
TTL
60%
21-14
67%
22-11
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
