Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Jaspers MVSU @ MAN

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-4  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 9:30 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

2-2  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
JASPERS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
JASPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Manhattan)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 JaspersMAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

3.6%

Jaspers Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MAN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)

MVSU By 1-7 points

2.7%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.5%

MAN By 1-7 points

10.7%

MAN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
64
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
82
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
62
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
78
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jaspers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaspers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaspers (+20) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Jaspers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u155.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 MVSU @ MAN 73 - 80
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Manhattan: 35.8% vs Mississippi Valley State: 29.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Manhattan: 44.0% vs Mississippi Valley State: 39.7%
Turnovers (L5) +23.6% more
Mississippi Valley State: 14.5 vs Manhattan: 11.1
Free Throw % (L5) +7.2%
Mississippi Valley State: 78.3% vs Manhattan: 71.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 64.0 73
MAN Score 82.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 29.9 37.0 / 25.0
Assists 11.8 / 11.1 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.1 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 39.7 46.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 78.3 81.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 33.1 28.0 / 22.0
Steals 7.0 / 7.4 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 14.5 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
MAN Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
MVSU
MAN
MVSU
ML
52% 16-15
91% 30-3
68% 21-10
75% 18-6
ATS
52% 16-15
82% 27-6
69% 22-10
75% 18-6
TTL
77% 24-7
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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