Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Royals SHU @ QUC

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

1-2  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 3:00 PM ET
Curry Arena
View Odds Details →

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

1-3  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
ROYALS
0%
PIONEERS --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Queens University)
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 RoyalsQUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

1.4%

Royals Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)

SHU By 1-7 points

1.1%

SHU By 8-14 points

0.1%

QUC By 1-7 points

5.8%

QUC By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
52
SACRED HEART
74
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
70
SACRED HEART
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Royals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Royals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Royals (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Royals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 SHU @ QUC 64 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +87.6% more
Queens University: 3.3 vs Sacred Heart: 1.8
Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Queens University: 46.3% vs Sacred Heart: 42.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Queens University: 72.1% vs Sacred Heart: 68.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Queens University: 35.2% vs Sacred Heart: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 52.0 64
QUC Score 74.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 33.3 44.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.0 / 16.3 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 1.8 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 42.0 49.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 72.1 / 68.8 88.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 37.6 39.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.6 / 7.8 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 14.2 16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
QUC Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
SHU
QUC
SHU
ML
71% 25-10
61% 20-13
71% 24-10
73% 24-9
ATS
86% 30-5
76% 25-8
71% 24-10
73% 24-9
TTL
47% 16-18-1
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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