AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
TRAILBLAZERS
--
RAINBOW WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Hawai'i)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)
UTU By 1-7 points
12.2%
UTU By 8-14 points
4.0%
HAW By 1-7 points
24.3%
HAW By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah Tech
67
UTAH TECH
Hawai'i
76
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
Utah Tech
61
UTAH TECH
Hawai'i
72
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rainbow Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rainbow Warriors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rainbow Warriors (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Rainbow Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
UTU @ HAW
62 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.3% more
Hawai'i: 14.7
vs
Utah Tech: 12.3
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Hawai'i: 42.8
vs
Utah Tech: 38.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.7%
Hawai'i: 38.9%
vs
Utah Tech: 28.2%
Blocks (L5)
+9.7% more
Hawai'i: 2.8
vs
Utah Tech: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTU Score
67.0
62
HAW Score
76.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 28.2
7.0 / 24.0
Assists
14.7 / 12.3
10.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 42.3
48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 66.0
84.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
42.8 / 38.6
39.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.7 / 6.4
7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 11.6
19.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
HAW
Advantage
24-9-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
HAW
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
UTU
HAW
UTU
ML
61%
20-13
68%
23-11
68%
21-10
62%
21-13
ATS
67%
22-11
65%
22-12
68%
21-10
62%
21-13
TTL
61%
20-13
65%
22-12
100%
31-0
100%
34-0