Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaguars @ Eagles USA @ COPP

SOUTH ALABAMA

JAGUARSUSA

4-0  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 11:00 AM ET
McArthur Center
View Odds Details →

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

0-5  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
JAGUARS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+18.0
COPPIN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
JaguarsUSA (-3.5) 0 EaglesCOPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

3.6%

Eagles Cover

96.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COPP +18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COPP)

USA By 1-7 points

10.7%

USA By 8-14 points

21.6%

COPP By 1-7 points

2.7%

COPP By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
85
SOUTH ALABAMA
67
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
63
SOUTH ALABAMA
78
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+18.5) Win
Proj Spread: +18.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 USA @ COPP 72 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +29.2% more
South Alabama: 8.1 vs Coppin State: 5.8
Rebounding (L5) +21.7% more
South Alabama: 40.1 vs Coppin State: 31.4
Field Goal % (L5) +11.1%
South Alabama: 47.1% vs Coppin State: 36.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
South Alabama: 31.1% vs Coppin State: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USA Score 85.0 72
COPP Score 67.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.3 / 31.1 22.0 / 33.0
Assists 10.3 / 11.0 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.2 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 36.1 / 47.1 38.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 63.2 76.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 40.1 34.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.1 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 8.8 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USA Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USA Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
USA
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.3
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
USA
COPP
USA
ML
65% 20-11
47% 15-17
79% 19-5
57% 17-13
ATS
68% 21-10
53% 17-15
79% 19-5
57% 17-13
TTL
52% 16-15
66% 21-11
100% 24-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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