Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Cardinals OHIO @ LOU

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

1-2  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 12:00 PM ET
KFC Yum! Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISVILLE

CARDINALSLOU

3-0  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
BOBCATS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
LOUISVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Louisville)
BobcatsOHIO (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

3.6%

Cardinals Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LOU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LOU)

OHIO By 1-7 points

2.7%

OHIO By 8-14 points

0.5%

LOU By 1-7 points

10.7%

LOU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
58
OHIO
76
LOUISVILLE
Simulated Score
68
OHIO
75
LOUISVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 OHIO @ LOU 81 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +142.3% more
Louisville: 9.3 vs Ohio: 3.9
Assists (L5) +59.1% more
Louisville: 18.8 vs Ohio: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +35.9% more
Louisville: 41.6 vs Ohio: 30.6
Blocks (L5) +10.5% more
Louisville: 2.6 vs Ohio: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score 58.0 81
LOU Score 76.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 26.3 46.0 / 35.0
Assists 18.8 / 11.8 23.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 45.1 50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 73.6 73.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 41.6 / 30.6 41.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.3 / 3.9 11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 10.8 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
LOU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
LOU Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LOU
OHIO
LOU
OHIO
ML
63% 22-13
65% 20-11
71% 24-10
63% 19-11
ATS
71% 25-10
68% 21-10
71% 24-10
63% 19-11
TTL
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 21 minutes ago
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 7 hours ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
yahoo 1 week, 2 days ago