VERMONT
CATAMOUNTSUVM
3-0 | Road
85
NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
2-1 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
CATAMOUNTS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Vermont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
UVM By 1-7 points
27.2%
UVM By 8-14 points
20.1%
NE By 1-7 points
21.6%
NE By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont
73
VERMONT
Northeastern
70
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Vermont
72
VERMONT
Northeastern
68
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
UVM @ NE
85 - 74
Nov 30, 2024
NE @ UVM
64 - 68
Dec 6, 2023
UVM @ NE
73 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+22.3% more
Vermont: 43.6
vs
Northeastern: 33.9
Blocks (L5)
+21.4% more
Vermont: 4.5
vs
Northeastern: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Vermont: 14.9
vs
Northeastern: 13.1
Turnovers (L5)
+9.9% more
Vermont: 10.9
vs
Northeastern: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVM Score
73.0
85
NE Score
70.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 35.2
40.0 / 57.0
Assists
13.1 / 14.9
12.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.5
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 46.9
46.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 74.6
76.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 43.6
31.0 / 29.0
Steals
9.1 / 4.8
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.9
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
UVM
NE
UVM
ML
70%
21-9
56%
19-15
60%
18-12
65%
22-12
ATS
63%
19-11
62%
21-13
60%
18-12
65%
22-12
TTL
53%
16-14
47%
16-18
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
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